Was it such a surprise

Two Swedish Prime Ministers made speeches in 2014 and 2015
welcoming immigrants to Sweden. Subsequently, the Swedish government has expressed surprise by the flood of refugees from Afghanistan. Here is the latest example from 14 August 2018 (published in Dagens Industri)

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this is very strange,
considering that the Migration Agency has claimed to have 
expert information as to the state of things in Afghanistan - which they claim has 'safe areas'

One could reasonably expect that with all the information available since 2011 - which indicated the withdrawal of mass USA forces by the end of 2014 - and the data concerning the resurgence of the Taliban it wouldn't have taken much effort to discover that the Taliban would grow in force.....and that Afghan families (especially Hazara who had helped in the fight against Al Qaeda after 9/11).....would seek safe refuge in another land.

This is what UNAMA was saying in 2013

The HIGHEST civilian casualty figures since records began in 2009..
and that is before the full USA troop withdrawal
 it is not unreasonable to assume that the locals
knew what was coming
So why didn't NATO forces?
Why didn't the Swedish Government?

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Here you can find the PUBLIC
information - and we can assume that governments
knew a lot more than this

Troop withdrawals in Afghanistan

World Bank 2013 report


So, why is it now claimed
that such a surge was not
expected ?

are we to assume that 2 - TWO - Swedish Prime
Ministers were so badly informed?

"Open Heart" Sweden (aug 2014)
"Refugess Welcome" (Sept 2015)

These statements were made presumably with more
"inside information" than was available to
the general public.

So why does Sweden
punish those who answered this
invitation
and not accept responsibility
for it's own mistakes ?

There are only TWO choices here:
either gross incompetence by 2 Swedish Governments
or
cynicism on a deplorable scale.

Either way it is an affront to the decent majority of Swedes.